When Peter Drucker makes an
observation, the chances are that it will still be highly relevant many years
later. Nowhere is this more true than Drucker’s 1985 HBR article, ’The
discipline of innovation’. In it, Drucker make a case for three neglected qualities
of innovation: not talent, ingenuity or knowledge, essential though they may
be: but diligence, persistence and commitment.
The popular image of the process
of innovation is that of serendipity combined with genius; of Archimedes
leaping from the baths shouting ‘eureka’; of Newton emerging semi-comatose from
beneath the apple tree. Drucker’s article seeks dispel that notion. He argues
that innovation rarely comes about in a ‘flash of genius’ but as a result of a
‘conscious, purposeful search for innovation opportunities’. For Drucker, there
are seven kinds of opportunity. The first tour tend to occur with an
organization or industry, the others are external:
Organisational Opportunities
- · Unexpected occurrences
- · Incongruities
- · Process needs
- · Industry and market changes
External Opportunities
- · Demographic changes
- · Change ion perception
- · New knowledge
Unexpected
occurrences
For Drucker, these are
opportunities where a product designed for one purpose is found to have more
valuable or lucrative possibilities elsewhere. Drucker gives the example of IBM
who developed the world’s first accounting machine right at the start of the
great depression in the early 1930s. Its intended market, the banks, was not
interested however but the company was saved by the then prosperous national
libraries who found a use for the machines. Drucker notes however that
companies are often reluctant grasp those opportunities which they did not
forsee. Indeed ‘most businesses dismiss them, disregard them, and even resent
them’. There are consequently greater opportunities for those far-sighted and
lateral minded enough to know a good idea when they see one, and understand how
to adapt it to different circumstances.
Incongruities
Drucker believes that incongruities
between expectations and results, between assumptions are realities, are
intensely valuable sources of innovation. He notes how the shipping industry
faced financial ruin in the 1950s, despite striving towards what everyone
though was needed: faster ships requiring less fuel. As soon it was realized
that the problem was not the cost incurred travelling from A to B, buth rather
wasting time unloading at B, innovation followed. Once the incongruity was
exposed, it was a simple matter of adapting the techniques of land-based
freight to shipping: roll-on, roll-off and container ships were the logical innovation
that resulted and shipping became a significant growth industry.
Process
needs
Once again, Drucker explains this
term by example, locating the origins of the mass circulation newspaper in
1890s America. For the newspaper as it is known today required two innovations,
which resulted from, a process need: the linotype, for the mass production of
print; and the social innovation of newspaper advertising.
Industry
and market changes
Drucker notes that fast growth
often leads to significant changes in the structure of an industry. At times
like these, established companies are likely to concentrate on defending
existing markets and neglect the major growth industries. Innovative newcomers
can take advantages of these changes.
Demographic
changes
Of the three external
opportunities for innovation cited by Drucker, demographic changes are the most
predictable. Drucker urges companies to take advantages of certainty,
highlighting how the Japanese manufacturing industry’s ten years lead in
robotic began with reliable prediction of a decline in the manual labour force
as a result of ‘a baby bust and education explosion’.
‘The innovation opportunities
made possible by changes in the number of people – and in §their age
distribution, education, occupations and geographic location – are among the
most rewarding and least risky of entrepreneurial pursuits.’
Change
in perception
How people perceive different
situations has important implications for innovation. Drucker speaks of how a shift
from an optimistic to a pessimistic view of a situation can either stimulate or
impede innovation.
New
knowledge
New knowledge is the most complex
and time consuming of all innovation opportunities. Example of knowledge based
inniovation include commercial banking, the automobile, the computer, the
commercial airline industry, all of which required the convergence o numerous
different knowledge components, and an individual or group capable of seeing
the big picture and pulling them together.
Making
use of opportunity
Although it is unlikely that a
successful innovator will make use all seven types of opportunity, the chances
of being successful are strengthened if each type is borne in mind. Drucker is
careful to stress the entrepreneurial element of innovation; identifying a
need; analyzing how an innovation will slot to existing markets; studying the
habitts and expectations of potential users.
Finally, Drucker stresses how
important it is to keep innovation simple. Good innovations ‘try to do on
specific thing’. But it should be specific thing that nobody has yet thought to
do. And finding what that doesn’t require genius. It needs a lot of hard work.
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